Shawdesh Desk:

The final swing state poll from Emerson College/The Hill shows Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris locked in a tight race for the White House as the candidates vie for victory in key battlegrounds.

The survey showed Harris ahead in Michigan, while Trump had the edge in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Arizona. The candidates were statistically tied in Nevada and Wisconsin, though all the polling was within each survey’s margin of error.

The findings come amid a slew of national polls that continue to forecast a race that is too close to predict. Meanwhile, Harris was found to be leading Trump in Iowa , an unexpected reversal in a state where Democrats and Republicans alike believed a Trump victory was virtually certain.

As the candidates race to the finish line , Trump is holding rallies in North Carolina before heading to Pennsylvania for two campaign stops and wrapping up the day in Michigan. Harris, meanwhile, will conclude her campaign in Pennsylvania by holding rallies in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, followed by a concert in Allentown.

What are the swing states? See the latest polls from places likely to decide the election

Final swing state surveys from Emerson show close race
The final surveys from Emerson College Polling/The Hill , released Monday, continue to forecast a race that will come down to the wire in seven swing states.

In Michigan, a poll of 790 people showed Harris with a two-point edge over former president Trump, 50% to 48%, with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.

The race is even in Nevada and Wisconsin. A survey of 840 people showed a tie at 48% in Nevada (with a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points), while 800 polled in Wisconsin showed a deadlock between both candidates at 49% (3.4% margin of error).

Trump has a one-point edge in Georgia (50% to 49%), North Carolina (49% to 48%), and Pennsylvania (49% to 48%), where 800, 860 and 1,000 people were polled, respectively. Those findings were within the margin of error in each poll, which ranged from 3 percentage points to 3.4%.

In Arizona, a poll of 900 voters showed Trump leads Harris 50%-48%, which is still within a 3.2% margin of error.

The surveys were conducted Wednesday to Saturday.

New York Times/Siena poll of the 7 battleground states show possible Harris path to victory
The final slate of polls from The New York Times and Siena College were released Sunday, showing Harris ahead in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Georgia. Trump and Harris were tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan while Trump was ahead in Arizona, though every result was within the margin of error.

The polls were conducted with likely voters between Oct. 24-Nov. 2 and surveyed 7,879 likely voters across the battleground states with a margin of error of ±3.5% in each state.

Things to keep in mind about polling
The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results being representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “inside” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

Pew has also found the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.